Next Halving ~2028
Countdown + historical timeline. See why supply cuts move markets.
Countdown to Supply Cut
Why Supply Cuts Change Flow
Less new supply: Mining rewards cut in half, reducing daily BTC entering circulation
Historical pattern: Past halvings preceded 12-18 month bull runs as scarcity increases
Market psychology: Predictable scarcity events build anticipation and reduce selling pressure
Historical Timeline + Price
Past halvings with BTC price overlay
Bitcoin Halving Timeline & Price History
Historical Halvings
Halving #1
11/28/2012
Block 210,000
50 → 25 BTC
First Bitcoin halving - Reward reduced from 50 to 25 BTC
Price at Halving
$12.35
Price 1 Year Later
$378.00
Halving #2
7/9/2016
Block 420,000
25 → 12.5 BTC
Second halving - Growing institutional awareness
Price at Halving
$650.00
Price 1 Year Later
$2,550.00
Halving #3
5/11/2020
Block 630,000
12.5 → 6.25 BTC
Third halving - COVID-19 monetary expansion era
Price at Halving
$8,821.00
Price 1 Year Later
$54,000.00
Halving #4
4/20/2024
Block 840,000
6.25 → 3.125 BTC
Fourth halving - Institutional adoption & ETF era
Price at Halving
$63,000.00
Price 1 Year Later
TBD
Future Halvings & Analysis
Fifth halving (estimated)
4/20/2028
Block ~1,050,000
3.125 → 1.5625 BTC
Sixth halving (estimated)
4/20/2032
Block ~1,260,000
1.5625 → 0.78125 BTC
📊 Halving Patterns
- • Halvings occur approximately every 4 years (~210,000 blocks)
- • New supply inflation rate is cut in half with each event
- • Historical post-halving rallies: +3,000%, +290%, +512%
- • Price appreciation often peaks 12-18 months after halving
- • Each cycle shows diminishing percentage returns (market maturation)
⚡ Supply Scarcity
Post-Halving Planning
Update your retirement plan with potential post-halving price assumptions. Historical patterns suggest 18-month drift periods after supply cuts.
Re-run my plan with post-halving assumptions →Educational only. Not financial advice. See Methodology for details.