Bitcoin Retirement Calculator

We simulate many possible Bitcoin futures (Monte Carlo) and also show a conservative power-law floor. You'll see a retirement window and a probability of success. Change a slider, watch your odds move.

Calculator

Configure your parameters to see retirement outcomes and probability of success.

Configuration

Current Age

Current BTC Holdings

Monthly DCA ($)

Target Annual Income ($)

Target Retirement Age

BTC Path Scenarios

Optional Adjustments

Include inflation (3%)Include taxes (22%)Price drift bump in 18 months post-halving

Adjust parameters to see results

Current scenario: Base GBM

Monte Carlo simulation (10k paths) with standard geometric brownian motion. Methodology

Models are simplifications — fat tails and regime changes happen. See our assumptions and sources. Methodology

Educational only. Not financial advice. See Disclaimer for details.